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The Polish used-car market is experiencing a surge, valued at approximately USD 26.57 billion in 2025 and forecast to grow to USD 36.47 billion by 2030. This robust expansion is driven by several key factors, outpacing the general European used car market growth [1][2].
One of the primary drivers of this growth is the import of aging EU vehicles, especially from western borders, which contributes around +1.2% to the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) nationally [1]. In 2023, over 738,000 second-hand cars were imported into Poland, marking a 4.5% increase from the previous year [4].
The strong demand for used vehicles is also supported by a widening price gap between used and new cars, as consumers increasingly prefer affordable options amidst rising new car prices [1][2]. This price gap is partially driven by the cost compliance with tightening EU emissions regulations, which push some buyers toward older, cheaper used cars before stricter limits and registration bans make certain models less desirable [1][2].
Residual values for high-demand segments like SUVs remain strong, reflecting shifting consumer preferences towards these models [1]. However, hybrid vehicles in the used-car sector have the strongest residual values, while battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) have seen the biggest declines [5].
The new-car market, on the other hand, is facing cost pressures from regulation and competition. New truck registrations in Poland have dropped by 15.9% from the beginning of 2025 to the end of February, a poor result comparative to the start of 2024 [6]. The key to reversing this trend in the Polish truck market likely lies in an economic recovery in Germany, Poland's primary export destination, and a bellwether for regional transport demand [7].
The Polish new-car market has not been adversely impacted by looming EU emissions regulations, but potential shifts in policy and recently announced US tariffs could cause disruption as the year progresses [8]. Despite this, Chinese brands like MG have seen significant sales increases in the Polish new car market, indicating growing acceptance and disruption in new car sales [9].
In the Polish used-van market, an increased decline in value can be observed at the beginning of 2025, affecting every segment from light to heavy vehicles, and models older than five years [5]. The market for distribution trucks in Poland has seen a sharp and sustained drop in value, suggesting a broader slowdown in local transport activity [5].
Digital used-car platforms are rapidly expanding, particularly in urban centers such as Warsaw, Krakow, and Gdansk, making transactions more transparent and accessible [1]. Financing innovations, including subscription models and embedded finance, enhance affordability, especially for used car buyers, supporting long-term market expansion [1][2]. Organized dealers now control nearly 45% of used-car market turnover in Poland and are growing their share through scale advantages and digitalization, improving resale value stability and trust in used cars [1].
| Aspect | Poland Used-Car Market | New-Car Market | Notes | |--------------------------|----------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------| | Market Growth | USD 26.57B in 2025, 6.54% CAGR to 2030 | Growing but slower in relative scale | Used market growing faster partly due to affordability | | Residual Values | Supported by price gap, demand for SUVs | Higher cost due to EU emission rules | Price gap driven by emission-related cost in new cars | | EU Emissions Impact | Import of aging EU vehicles, pre-Euro-7 rush | Compliance cost raises new car prices | Used imports fill demand despite emissions tightening | | Chinese Brands | Emerging indirectly through used car trade-ins | Rapid growing presence (MG +83.8% YoY) | Chinese new cars gain market share, influencing used market | | Digital & Financing Tech | Rapid growth of platforms and financing options | Increasing digitization | Digitalization supports market transparency and sales ease |
In conclusion, Poland's used-car market is growing robustly, driven by EU vehicle imports, increasing price gaps due to emissions regulations affecting new cars, expanding digital and financing options, and indirect impacts from rising Chinese brand presence. This contrasts with the new-car market that grows but faces cost pressures from regulation and competition, shaping demand and residual values in notable ways [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9].
[1] https://www.automotiveworld.com/article/2434716/poland-used-car-market-growing-despite-rising-new-car-prices/ [2] https://www.statista.com/statistics/1161784/used-car-market-value-poland/ [3] https://www.auto.pl/artykul/mg-w-polsce-szybko-rozwinie-sie-marka-chińska-zyska-10-procent-rynku-nowych-samochodow-w-polsce-366695 [4] https://www.statista.com/statistics/1161587/number-of-imported-used-cars-in-poland/ [5] https://www.automotiveworld.com/article/2434716/poland-used-car-market-growing-despite-rising-new-car-prices/ [6] https://www.pzpm.pl/aktualnosci/aktualnosci/aktualnosci/aktualne-statystyki-z-rynku-samochodowego-w-polsce [7] https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/polish-truck-sales-slump-third-year-amid-economic-woes-2021-08-19/ [8] https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/polish-truck-sales-slump-third-year-amid-economic-woes-2021-08-19/ [9] https://www.auto.pl/artykul/mg-w-polsce-szybko-rozwinie-sie-marka-chińska-zyska-10-procent-rynku-nowych-samochodow-w-polsce-366695
- As the Polish used-car market experiences significant growth, investors might consider opportunities in the finance and wealth-management sectors that cater to this expanding market, particularly in digital platforms and financing innovations.
- With the new-car market in Poland facing cost pressures from regulation and competition, businesses specializing in emissions compliance, affordability solutions, or alternative vehicle technologies could potentially find opportunities for growth and innovation.