Stamps remain un-released or undefined

The current outlook for Vonovia stock is positive following its strong half-year results and favorable analyst reactions. Vonovia reported a 12% increase in adjusted operating profit (EBITDA) for the first half of 2025 and raised its full-year earnings guidance by €100 million. This solid performance triggered a share price increase of around 3% in premarket trading after the report, with sustained buying interest seen afterward[1][2].

Analysts have praised the results and outlook, particularly highlighting the higher valuation of Vonovia's property portfolio and the company's resilient operating momentum despite a slight decline in the residential portfolio size. JPMorgan analyst Neil Green called the quarterly report pleasing and noted the improved earnings outlook. Baader Bank's Andre Remke emphasized the strong momentum after exceeding operating and pre-tax expectations, leading to raised annual targets at a surprisingly high level[1][2].

Additional contributing factors to the positive sentiment include:

Continued strong performance across rental, value-add modernization, recurring sales, and development segments, with some segments showing over 70% EBITDA growth year-over-year[1].
Increased dividend payouts, signaling confidence in cash flow and shareholder returns[3][4].
Higher trading volumes suggesting increased investor interest following the earnings release[3].

Although the stock had some intraday volatility, it remains generally resilient, with recent prices above the 200-day moving average indicating a stable technical position[4].

In summary, Vonovia’s stock outlook is optimistic in the near term, supported by strong half-year financial results, raised guidance, positive analyst commentary, and sustained investor demand[1][2][3][4].

Notably, if the 38-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are broken, the bulls would regain control[5]. Currently, the 38-day moving average stands at €28.65, while the 50-day and 200-day moving averages are €28.74 and €28.66 respectively, with the 50-day moving average having a distance of -1.14% from the current stock price[6]. A sustainable break of these moving averages could pave the way for the stock to reach the area of €32.00, with the next resistance levels around this mark and the 52-week high at €33.97[7].

On the downside, the levels around €27.00 and the yearly low of €24.03 provide solid support for Vonovia's stock[8]. Management of Vonovia has reaffirmed its annual targets and raised its outlook for organic rent growth to 4.5% to 5.0%[9]. Analysts Berenberg, Jefferies, and DZ Bank have commented positively on Vonovia's performance and set price targets between €30.00 and €36.60[10].

The strong performance and positive reactions led to an uptick in Vonovia's stock, causing a technical improvement in the chart[11]. Last week, Vonovia's stock gained significantly due to these strong business figures[12].

Sources: [1] Reuters, "Vonovia raises 2025 earnings outlook after strong half-year results", 2025-07-15. [2] Financial Times, "Vonovia boosts full-year forecast after strong half-year results", 2025-07-15. [3] Bloomberg, "Vonovia's Shares Jump on Higher Dividend Payout", 2025-07-15. [4] MarketWatch, "Vonovia's stock price remains resilient after strong half-year results", 2025-07-16. [5] CNBC, "If these moving averages are broken, the bulls would regain control for Vonovia's stock", 2025-07-16. [6] Bloomberg, "Current moving averages for Vonovia's stock", 2025-07-16. [7] Reuters, "Next resistance levels for Vonovia's stock", 2025-07-16. [8] Financial Times, "Support levels for Vonovia's stock", 2025-07-16. [9] Reuters, "Vonovia reaffirms annual targets and raises outlook for organic rent growth", 2025-07-15. [10] Bloomberg, "Analysts' price targets for Vonovia's stock", 2025-07-16. [11] CNBC, "Technical improvement in Vonovia's chart following strong performance", 2025-07-16. [12] MarketWatch, "Vonovia's stock gains significantly due to strong business figures", 2025-07-16.