Pessimistic Tides for Overseas Businesses: German Companies Struggle Worldwide
Global businesses report worsening circumstances on a global scale, as per German enterprises.
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The economic climate for German companies overseas is facing deteriorating conditions and escalating uncertainties in nearly every region worldwide. This disheartening revelation stems from the latest World Business Outlook (WBO) of the Foreign Trade Chambers (AHK) for Spring 2025.
Volker Treier, Chief of Foreign Trade at the German Chamber of Industry and Commerce (DIHK), voiced his concerns, stating, "The new US trade policy is slamming German companies at their overseas locations with full force." He went on to explain, "US trade policy and its global repercussions are causing a ripple effect through the global economy – investors are losing faith in dependable conditions." These developments are undeniably troubling, as they lead to delayed or canceled investments and a reevaluation of traditional trade relations.
Nearly 4,600 German companies in over 90 countries participated in the survey, which took place between March 17 and April 14 during a period of substantial geopolitical upheaval, including the announcement of tariffs by US President Donald Trump against almost all of America's trading partners – infamiously known as "Liberation Day." According to the outlook, the global economic forecast paints a grim picture. Only 19% of the companies anticipate an improvement in business conditions, a sharp decline from the 27% recorded in the previous season. Meanwhile, the percentage of companies expecting a deterioration has climbed to 33%.
Despite the lack of specific WBO data for Spring 2025, other sources shed light on the daunting challenges facing German companies abroad:
- Intense international competition, particularly from China, is worsening economic challenges.
- US tariff policies pose a considerable risk to German exports, particularly in sectors like automotive and chemicals, which heavily rely on the North American market.
- High energy costs due to the Ukraine war and weakening demand from China exacerbate the economic difficulties.
- Germany's forthcoming investment plan may help alleviate some of these challenges by boosting growth potential in the medium term.
As the global economic landscape continues to unfold, it appears that the circumstances will remain volatile due to geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties. This reality underscores the challenging road ahead for German companies operating overseas.
- The Community policy should address the concerns raised by Volker Treier, Chief of Foreign Trade at the German Chamber of Industry and Commerce (DIHK), regarding the impact of US trade policies on German companies operating overseas.
- Vocational training programs could be initiated to help German companies adapt to the intensifying competition, particularly from China, in overseas markets.
- The vicious cycle of deteriorating business conditions, escalating uncertainties, and delayed or canceled investments necessitates a proactive approach from German companies.
- In light of the tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump, it's essential for Germany to formulate a comprehensive response strategy to mitigate the risks to its exports, particularly in sectors like automotive and chemicals.
- The outlook for the global economy suggests a need for immediate action to address the high energy costs resulting from the Ukraine war and the weakening demand from China.
- Given the general news of war-and-conflicts and political instability worldwide, it's crucial for German businesses to stay informed and adjust their strategies accordingly to navigate the volatile economic landscape.